Beijing is broadly nets on July 1, the appear of financial information based on reports, the last day time near to the next quarter, some significant fiscal organizations and investigation division started out releasing financial data, of which about two three quarters of forecast of financial advancement forecast, coincidentally arrived out drop, and for that prediction near to the CPI is higher generally. in spite of the simple fact how the concentrate near to the most recent manage inflation or work, but based on increase attention rates, standard bank of China arranged forward, it is finest to take advantage of asymmetry attention fee hikes tools. CCTV reporter HeJingYu reported.
The standard bank of China intercontinental finance institute near to the next quarter GDP advancement forecast to 9.1% within next quarter, the complete near to the CPI is 5.5%. at the same time to the specific traffic standard bank fiscal investigation center, anticipate financial advancement within next quarter of 9.5%, to 6.2%. CPI The bank's chief economist lu county this after stood within pessimistic one side, also recognized's prediction of 6.2%. specific traffic standard bank dr TangJianWei explained their judgment basis.
TangJianWei: the ministry of commerce monitoring near to the agricultural products near to the 4 days cost is ongoing high, so go this thirty day period near to the food cost rises should be increased, after which away from your food costs start looking at this numerous weeks are ongoing rise, we predict the food costs will also increase this month, so we detailed part near to the CPI enhance 6.2%.
TangJianWei believe that to possess the ability to cut back the middle standard bank may possibly be also supportive, a fee increase. at the same time to the standard bank of China, chief economist CaoYuanZheng is arranged forward, the asymmetric increase attention rates, that is much more near to the deposit prices is amid the finest choice.
CaoYuanZheng: near to the one hand, inflation expectations rise, the need to include deposit interest, near to one other hand, the funding cost is higher, can't appear to include attention on loans, just like a asymmetric.
Consider before to numerous many years of double-digit growth, CaoYuanZheng think some be worried how the GDP advancement is as well minimal with one another with merely a tiny truth.
CaoYuanZheng: in spite of the simple fact that financial advancement have downside dangers but downside opportunity is not as well big. From this year's financial advancement all through the yr to determine not much much more than 9%, merely because in theory, educational "lag" refers for that harmful growth, or cease growing, and our financial advancement in, but you stated he helps make no sense, with one another with a specific sense, than within previous two digit growth, his advancement is low.
Chinese people's college finance, vice President near to the college ZhaoXiJun thinks that advancement in fact no lower.
ZhaoXiJun: on the very very least within throughout the earth financial system is not especially boom, loads of financial made countries, financial advancement fee is extremely low, our country can sustain a 8% or 9%, that could possibly be the brilliant things.
Consider to possess reached report highs, CaoYuanZheng don't advise just one frequent utilization of deposit reserve fee tools.
CaoYuanZheng: so within our plan advice, the up coming step, center can increase reserve, in spite of the simple fact that can hold no online, on this situation, with other plan is better.
ZhaoXiJun views is, according for that particular circumstances, it doesn't subject if a cat, catch mice are beneficial cat, so to detailed utilization of many different tools.
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